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Exclusive interview | Jan Vardaman: Advanced packaging is not “instant noodles”; China is facing a critical window period

2026-08-11 08:00 Chips & Hardware 🔥 28.9 heat score
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As the demand for AI computing power will surge by the end of 2025, advanced packaging has evolved from a secondary role in the backend to a key factor in industry competitiveness. TSMC is intensifying its production expansion to address the imbalance in supply and demand in core processes such as CoWoS, and is collaborating with manufacturers like Amkor and ASE to share the burden. ASML has already started working on wafer-on-substrate technology to handle some of these tasks. Although capacity expansion may be delayed and the demand curve is expected to level off by 2027, high yield rates remain essential for achieving supply-demand balance. The industry is currently facing multiple challenges, including material bottlenecks and energy efficiency issues, and China is seen as having a critical window of development ahead.

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Key entitiesKEY ENTITIES
AmkorAsahi KaseiSunlight and MoonlightTSMCTechSearch International

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Amkor × Asahi Kasei1Amkor × Sunlight and Mo…1Amkor × TSMC1Amkor × TechSearch Inte…1Asahi Kasei × Sunlight …1Asahi Kasei × TSMC1

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  • TechSearch International1
  • TSMC1
  • Amkor1
  • Sunlight and Moonlight1
  • Asahi Kasei1

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观察者网·工业科技 zh 2026-08-11 08:00

Exclusive Interview | Jan Vardaman: Advanced Packaging Is Not "Noodles"—China Enters a Critical Window Period

# Exclusive Dialogue | Jan Vardaman: Advanced packaging is not “instant noodles”, and China is entering a critical period **Key points:** Advanced packaging has evolved from a “back-end minor role” to a decisive factor in the AI computing power competition. From the imbalance in supply and demand for CoWoS, the industrialization bottlenecks of glass substrates, to the energy efficiency challenges of CPO, all aspects of the industry are being reshaped by AI demands. **Supply-demand pattern:** An unprecedented surge in demand occurred by the end of 2025, but capacity expansion has a time lag. TSMC, as the leader in back-end packaging, has fully expanded its production, but the demand curve does not rise linearly; it may level off by 2027. Therefore, balancing capacity expansion and risks is a key challenge. **CoWoS breakdown:** TSMC works with manufacturers such as Amkor and ASE to share the burden of capacity pressure. ASML has already made arrangements in the “wafer-on-substrate” segment and will take over some CoWoS tasks in the future. Ultimately, supply and demand will balance out, but high yield is a prerequisite. **Key to high yield:** Materials (such as Asahi Kasei C…