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① Mark Spitznagel, founder of “Black Swan Fund” Universa, warns that AI prosperity may continue, but a large-scale collapse is imminent; ② He believes that the delayed effects of aggressive interest rate hikes in 2022-2023 have not fully manifested, and the economy will collapse due to high borrowing costs.

2026-09-08 08:00 Industry & Investment 🔥 42.2 heat score
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SummaryAI generated

On September 8, 2026, Mark Spitznagel, founder of Black Swan Fund Universa, warned that the prosperity of artificial intelligence might not be sustainable. He pointed out that the delayed effects of the aggressive interest rate hikes between 2022 and 2023 had not yet fully manifested, and the economy was expected to face the risk of collapse due to high borrowing costs.

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Federal ReserveMark SpitznagelMichael BerryUniversa

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Federal Reserve × Mark …1Federal Reserve × Micha…1Federal Reserve × Unive…1Mark Spitznagel × Micha…1Mark Spitznagel × Unive…1Michael Berry × Universa1

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  • Universa1
  • Mark Spitznagel1
  • Michael Berry1
  • Federal Reserve1

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科创板日报 zh 2026-09-08 08:00

①“黑天鹅基金”Universa创始人马克•斯皮茨纳格尔警告AI繁荣或持续,但大规模崩溃将至; ②他认为,2022-2023年激进加息滞后效应未完全显现,经济将因高借贷成本崩溃。

“黑天鹅基金”Universa 创始人马克•斯皮茨纳格尔警告 AI 繁荣或持续,但大规模崩溃将至。他认为 2022-2023 年激进加息滞后效应未完全显现,经济将因高借贷成本崩溃。斯皮茨纳格尔指出存在债务过重和“傲慢的巨额押注”迹象,但美联储正处于观望和加息的两难抉择中。他承认迈克尔•伯里对人工智能超大规模企业过度投资、循环融资及隐性负债的担忧有道理,但认为时机不对。斯皮茨纳格尔预测高风险投资领域将出现另一波规模巨大、冒险至上、狂热的上涨行情,一旦结束将引发超级崩盘。当前美股估值和投资者情绪处于极端狂热状态,在经历最后一波冲高后,很可能迎来 1929 年式、跌幅可能达 80% 的超级崩盘。